Beginning in mid-February 2008, the 1997-2007 online version of the Science Watch® newsletter, ESI-Topics.com, and in-cites.com, will all be featured together on the redesigned ScienceWatch.com. All previous content from the three sites will be permanently archived, and remain accessible from any existing bookmarks to the archived pages. No new content will be added to this site. Updates and new content (updated biweekly) are available at ScienceWatch.com now.

Fast Moving Fronts Comments

Return to menu of Fast Moving Fronts

ESI Special Topics, September 2002
Citing URL: http://www.esi-topics.com/fmf/september02-GabrieleHegerl.html
   

From •>>September 2002

Gabriele Hegerl answers a few questions about this month's fast moving front in the field of Geosciences.

Article: "Multi-fingerprint detection and attribution analysis of greenhouse gas, greenhouse gas-plus-aerosol and solar forced climate change"
Authors: Hegerl, GC;Hasselmann, K;Cubasch, U;Mitchell, JFB;Roeckner, E;Voss, R;Waszkewitz, J
Journal: CLIM DYNAM, 13: (9) 613-634 SEP 1997
Addresses:
MAX PLANCK INST METEOROL, HAMBURG, GERMANY.
DEUTSCH KLIMARECHENZENTRUM, HAMBURG, GERMANY.
HADLEY CTR CLIMATE PREDICT & RES, BRACKNELL, BERKS, ENGLAND.


ST:  Why do you think your paper is highly cited?

It is the first paper applying a "rigorous" method for distinguishing among the different factors that influence climate, such as greenhouse warming, aerosol cooling, and the influence of solar radiation. So it describes and applies a new technique to an exciting problem.

ST:  Does it describe a new discovery or new methodology that's useful to others?

It is new in its application to the climate change problem. The technique itself is a well-known mathematical approach (multiple regression), but we have tailored it to the climate change problem in a novel way.

ST:  Could you summarize the significance of your paper in layman's terms?

The paper tries to determine if greenhouse warming is apparent in surface temperature trends, and if, additionally, sulfate aerosol influence is obvious in the data. It also establishes if climate-model simulations are in agreement with the most important aspects of the observed temperature trends across the globe. The paper concludes that greenhouse warming is apparent in the data, that sulfate aerosols have an important contribution, and that solar effects by themselves or natural climate variability alone cannot explain the data. Our paper describes changes in climate, and shows that only the human-induced increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere combined with other anthropogenic influences can fully explain it.

ST:  How did you become involved in this research?

I worked as a research scientist at the Max-Planck institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, which has an extensive modeling group and this gave me the opportunity to use the latest simulations for my research. I developed the method together with its director, Klaus Hasselmann, who is truly an outstanding scientist. My contacts to other modeling groups provided me with the opportunity to use more than one model's data while those with the observationalists helped me gather the latest observed data.

Gabriele Hegerl
Department of Earth and Ocean Sciences,
Nicholas School for the Environment,
Box 90227
Duke University, Durham NC 27708

Return to Fast Moving Fronts | Return to Special Topics main menu
 

ESI Special Topics, September 2002
Citing URL: http://www.esi-topics.com/fmf/september02-GabrieleHegerl.html

ScienceWatch.com - Tracking Trends and Perfomance in Basic Research
Go to the new ScienceWatch.com

Write to the Webmaster with questions/comments. Terms of Usage.
The Research Services Group of Thomson Scientific |
(c) 2008 The Thomson Corporation.