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ESI Special Topic: Global Warming
Publication Date: September 2006

Global Warming

ESI Special Topics: December 2006
Citing URL: http://esi-topics.com/gwarm2006/interviews/EricPost.html

An INTERVIEW with Dr. Eric Post
According to our analysis of global warming research over the past decade, the scientist ranking at #9 is Dr. Eric Post, with a total of 417 citations. He is a coauthor on the top-ranked paper in this field, “Ecological responses to recent climate change,” (Walther GR, et al., Nature 416[6879]:389-95, 28 March 2002). Dr. Post’s record in Essential Science Indicators includes 20 papers cited a total of 1,049 times to date in the field of Environment & Ecology. Dr. Post is an Associate Professor of Biology at The Pennsylvania State University in University Park. In the interview below, he talks about his highly cited research.

ST:  Would you give us some background on your education and early research?

I attended the University of Minnesota as an undergraduate. It took me a while to settle on biology as a major field of study, but I can trace the genesis of my career to two lectures. The first was by Professor Harrison "Bud" Tordoff on the first day of the first biology class I took in college. It was one of those very general "survey" classes for non-majors. I'll never forget the way Professor Tordoff used the first 15 minutes or so of class that day to simply show us slide after slide after slide of all sorts of animals. I recall him saying nothing as he advanced from one slide to the next. There was just a vivid visual display of life moving across the screen at the front of that enormous lecture hall. It was a very dramatic experience, and at the end of the show Professor Tordoff commented on how overwhelming it was to think about the incredible diversity of life forms out there and the fact that all of them were trying to do the same thing: survive to reproduce. Wow. I was hooked.

Years later, in an advanced ecology course, I attended a lecture given by Professor Don Siniff, in which he showed slides documenting his research on population ecology of mammals in the polar regions. After that lecture, I approached Professor Siniff and told him I absolutely had to go to the Arctic to do research. He was very helpful in getting me accepted into the graduate program at the University of Alaska, the only institution I wanted to attend after Minnesota.

My doctoral research at the University of Alaska focused on behavioral ecology and population dynamics of caribou in relation to resource dynamics and predation. At the time, I had little awareness of climate change and its importance in arctic ecosystems. However, that changed as soon as I took on a post-doctoral position at the University of Oslo, where it became the central focus of my research.

ST:  What do you consider the main focus of your research?

My research focuses on ecological effects of climate change. I try to take the approach that the responses you see at the ecosystem level, or even beyond that, ultimately boil down to the responses of individual organisms to variation in the biotic and abiotic environments. One of the most intriguing aspects of studying climate change is trying to make the connection between large-scale environmental changes like global warming and responses by individuals in local populations.

ST:  Several of your papers make use of or mention the North Atlantic Oscillation. Would you explain for the uninitiated what this is and how you use it in your work?

The North Atlantic Oscillation, or NAO, is simply a fluctuation in atmospheric mass balance between two so-called pressure centers over the northern Atlantic Ocean. You could think of it as a seesaw of pressure between those two centers that fluctuates on many time scales, from days, to seasons, to decades. Depending on where the balance of high pressure lies, the NAO can act as a corridor that shunts westerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico to northern Europe, affecting winter temperatures and the balance of precipitation and evaporation over land in North America and Northern Europe.

“One of the most intriguing aspects of studying climate change is trying to make the connection between large-scale environmental changes like global warming and responses by individuals in local populations.”

We use the NAO as an index of large-scale climatic variation and change in our analyses of vertebrate population dynamics and spatial patterns of population synchrony. It’s a useful way of testing for responses of local populations to large-scale changes in climate, and for investigating spatial variation at the continental scale in how different populations of the same species respond to climate change. As an integrative index, the NAO also gives us a tool for looking at responses of organisms to changes in a whole suite of abiotic conditions that are expected to be altered by climate change.

ST:  Many of your studies involve the effects of climate change on animal populations. Is there a unifying trend here in terms of global warming, i.e., have all the populations you've studied been affected in similar ways?

This is one of the most important questions we try to address. If populations within species responded similarly to climate change, we would have great predictive capacity to foresee responses of species to climate change. That would be useful in a management or conservation context. However, we’ve found it’s more complicated than that. Populations show an array of responses to warming. Some increase, some decline. This in itself then becomes an interesting subject for research. What factors influence whether a population increases or declines as the Earth gets warmer?

ST:  If you are free to discuss them, please tell us about your current projects.

We’ve just completed the fifth year of a large-scale field experiment in which we’re investigating the manner in which herbivory by large mammals influences the response of arctic vegetation and ecosystem processes to climatic warming. The site of this experiment, in West Greenland, is also the site for which we’ve got long-term (i.e., century-scale) data on caribou population dynamics that have been the focus of many of our analytical studies of population response to climate change. By conducting our field experiment there, we are attempting to couple our long-term time-series analyses with a detailed field investigation of an entire ecosystem. This, we hope, will shed light on not only how animal populations are influenced by climate change, but also on how the plant species and communities they interact with are in turn influenced by animal responses to climate change. A primary reason for undertaking this investigation is that, especially in the Arctic, there is potential for important feedbacks between tundra vegetation and climate dynamics. In other words, climate change may influence animals, which influence vegetation, which in turn influences climate. It’s very exciting.End

Eric Post, Ph.D.
The Pennsylvania State University
University Park, PA, USA

Dr. Eric Post's most-cited paper with 451 cites to date:
Walther GR, et al., "Ecological responses to recent climate change," Nature 416(6879): 389-95, 28 March 2002.

Source: Essential Science Indicators

ESI Special Topics: December 2006
Citing URL: http://esi-topics.com/gwarm2006/interviews/EricPost.html

This special topic of global warming was originally featured in ESI Topics in January 2002. To view the archived global warming topic, click here.

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