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New Hot Paper Comments

By Kerry Emanuel

ESI Special Topics, September 2006
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/nhp/2006/september-06-KerryEmanuel.html

Kerry Emanuel answers a few questions about this month's new hot paper in the field of Geosciences.


From •>>September 2006

Field: Geosciences
Article Title: Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years
Authors: Emanuel, K
Journal: NATURE
Volume: 436
Issue: 7051
Page: 686-688
Year: AUG 4 2005
* MIT, Program Atmospheres Oceans & Climate, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA.
* MIT, Program Atmospheres Oceans & Climate, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA.

ST:  Why do you think your paper is highly cited?


“I have been studying hurricanes for 20 years and developed the existing theory relating hurricanes to climate.”

Mostly because, by co-incidence, it appeared a few weeks before Katrina, but also because it was the first to attribute observed changes in tropical cyclone activity to global climate change.

ST:  Does it describe a new discovery, methodology, or synthesis of knowledge?

It develops a new metric for tropical cyclone activity, the power dissipation index, which is a measure of the total amount of energy generated by hurricanes over their lifetimes.

ST:  Could you summarize the significance of your paper in layman’s terms?

The paper shows, for the first time, that hurricanes are responding to global warming.

ST:  How did you become involved in this research, and were there obstacles along the way?

I have been studying hurricanes for 20 years and developed the existing theory relating hurricanes to climate. I decided to look at the observations for signs that hurricanes respond to climate change.

ST:  Are there any social or political implications for your research?

Yes. Hurricanes are the most destructive and lethal natural phenomenon affecting the U.S. and many other countries, and if they are being made worse by human-induced climate change, there are potentially large implications for policy.End

Kerry A. Emanuel, Ph.D.
Professor of Meteorology
Department of Earth, Atmospheric, & Planetary Sciences
MIT
Cambridge, MA, USA

ESI Special Topics, September 2006
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/nhp/2006/september-06-KerryEmanuel.html

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